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Isa
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Thursday, February 2 2012, 8:39 pm EST
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'snipereborn' said:
Isa, read what I posted. I explained why my theories are better. They explain more and are not really that far fetched.


They bring new questions that you can't answer satisfactory.

Why would Thomas need to be part of the wagon that forces Silver to claim?
Why would Silver claim a role that if she's Mafia forces her to guess who targeted her during the night? Why wouldn't she claim a role like Roleblocker or Jailkeeper, which a Mafioso can easily fake?

Why would a Serial Killer not kill for two days, especially the first night when our Doc was blocked?

Defining how to act like town is hard because it's not something you do in just one post, you do it over the course of a whole game. But yeah, look at your flipped townreads, see what they do and did, read a guide on how to play as town, etc. Many ways how to act like town, none are easily defined. You usually know when you stumble across a town-player before he has flipped.
snipereborn
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Thursday, February 2 2012, 8:51 pm EST
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Also, Isa, my theories are better than yours because your seem to involve me being scum which I know isn't true. They also don't tell us anything.
Let's entertain your assumption:
1. Thomas and Silver are not aligned.
2. There are no third parties or vigilantes.
What are we left with?
Soccer looks scummy for accusing Thomas.
Silver looks scummy for the early rc which can't really be verified as you're claiming.
Thomas looks scummy for forcing Silver to rc, if she's actually town.
So Silver and Thomas ends in a stalemate, that leaves soccer and shavey (for lurking).
I geuss you've chosen me as obvscum, which is ridiculous, but if I take the objective route, does that mean you think the scum team is me, soccer, and shavey? The mafia seems more competent than that.

NINJA'd:
1. Why would thomas need to be part of the wagon?
To make sure there was a wagon and to control it. Pretty straight forward.
2. Why would Silver claim this role?
Because it's easier to fake than you're suggesting. Here's a question: would Silver know if she was roleblocked, assuming she's telling the truth?
3. Why wouldn't a Serial Killer make a kill?
Doesn't have to be a serial killer. Vigilante seems more likely for that reason.
Otherwise, maybe a townie got lucky on N1 and blocked the serial killer. Don't like this option, but I guess it's possible.


Everyone runs faster with a knife.
Isa
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Thursday, February 2 2012, 9:03 pm EST
No. I'm an octopus.

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'snipereborn' said:
Also, Isa, my theories are better than yours because your seem to involve me being scum which I know isn't true. They also don't tell us anything.
Let's entertain your assumption:
1. Thomas and Silver are not aligned.
2. There are no third parties or vigilantes.
What are we left with?
Soccer looks scummy for accusing Thomas.
Silver looks scummy for the early rc which can't really be verified as you're claiming.
Thomas looks scummy for forcing Silver to rc, if she's actually town.
So Silver and Thomas ends in a stalemate, that leaves soccer and shavey (for lurking).
I geuss you've chosen me as obvscum, which is ridiculous, but if I take the objective route, does that mean you think the scum team is me, soccer, and shavey? The mafia seems more competent than that.

No, they do not. My theories are as simple as you posted there:
Thomas and Silver are not both Mafia.
There are no third parties or vigilantes.

From my POV we're left with you, Jellsprout, Shavey Dave, Thomas and Yuggy as plausibly scum in no real order. Silver is town due to her claim and Thomas is...at least not to be lynched today, due to the claim.

'snipereborn' said:
NINJA'd:
1. Why would thomas need to be part of the wagon?
To make sure there was a wagon and to control it. Pretty straight forward.
2. Why would Silver claim this role?
Because it's easier to fake than you're suggesting. Here's a question: would Silver know if she was roleblocked, assuming she's telling the truth?
3. Why wouldn't a Serial Killer make a kill?
Doesn't have to be a serial killer. Vigilante seems more likely for that reason.
Otherwise, maybe a townie got lucky on N1 and blocked the serial killer. Don't like this option, but I guess it's possible.

You don't think that the Mafia would be better of if there actually wasn't a wagon? Do you think that the only way for Silver to live was to make sure that she got to claim quickly?

It's not easy to claim at all. Thomas could have targeted her, Harumbai could have targeted her, Jazz could have targeted her if he was alive, etc. etc. There's a lot of active roles in the game, seemingly. For three straight nights, people have chosen not to target Silver, and she has to keep that up until she dies if she is Mafia. I can't control what others choose to do.

Here we are again - you started off by saying that you agree with Soccerboy that there is a third party role, and now you've backed off that train of thought. Anyway, let's say we mislynch today, making it 5:3. Mafia kills someone, making it 4:3. If we have a Vigilante, do you think that
1. the Vigilante shot at Jellsprout, the only one that has been protected so far, or abstained during Night 2?
2. the Vigilante should shoot in what's essentially a 50/50 situation, causing town's immediate loss if he or she hits a townsperson? If not, why should the Vigilante have abstained during Night 2 and 1? (Yes, I assume that you don't think that the Vigilante would have shot Jell)
snipereborn
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Thursday, February 2 2012, 9:21 pm EST
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If you would read what I actually posted.....
I did not agree or disagree with his third party claim. I said I believed his claim that thomas tried to kill him. I know he sort of combined those in a weird way, but if you look at what I said, it's clearer.
I say I Believe a claim.
I say I agree with a theory.
Alternately, I'll say I believe a theory that I've put forward, not someone else.
This is a subtle difference, but I think we're clever enough to see it.
Option two. It's what I'd do. Why? Because the situation is only close to 50/50 from a purely statistical point of view. You're not considering that he would have all kinds of other information to guide the shot. Since the mafia naturally has about a 50% chance of winning (see wikipedia entry for the math), the information the vigilante has will tip the scales drastically in his favor.
Now, the point about getting NK'd and wasting the shots is a concern. But that goes back to having a 10/13 chance of hitting a townie on N1. Is that really worth it?


Everyone runs faster with a knife.
snipereborn
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Thursday, February 2 2012, 9:27 pm EST
Fact Squisher

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Why is soccer not on your list if your bashing me for believing his claim? I just reread your post and I don't understand what motivates your attack on me if not for agree with socc.r and voting thomas?


Everyone runs faster with a knife.
Yaya
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Thursday, February 2 2012, 9:28 pm EST

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Unvote: Thomas
Your claim's good enough for me for now. I think it'd be too risky for a mafia to claim doctor, that's just begging for a scumslip.

I don't really tether myself to a posting style in these games. Game 1 I was so scared of saying something stupid so I rubberstamped everything and almost got myself mod-killed-- for things outside the game. Tbh, in Game 2, I was thinking of using some of your more aggressive techniques, Thomas. I thought they at least got you somewhere in Game 1. I was only able to do some trolololing and bland crap before I got killed, though. Game 3, I just spoke my mind, because neither side would necessarily lose anything from me dying. I consider myself fairly new to mafia unlike Thomas/Isa, so I still try to improve my "style".

I guess Snipe's the most scummy one after Thomas, but I had a difficult time keeping up with his argument. What are you trying to prove right? I felt kinda dumb because by the time I read the last new post, I was thinking, "how does this relate to him being or not being mafia?", lol. Can you dumb it down for me? Tell me who you find suspicious and why? The only thing I get out of all these lists and talking about dead player's roles is the impression that you're cracking.

And Shavey, he just sucks.

NINJA'D/OHCRAP Edit: Snipereborn, I'm still not following you. Isa, I just remembered you wanted me to post quotes. Are you still holding me up to doing that? I seriously will if you want me to (it won't be too hard to find belligerent posts of yours D2), but I put off an essay to come on here and get updated, so you'll have to wait till maybe 10:30-11:00?
Ninja'd again: See the pic in my signature...



COMING SOON: A giant meteor. Please.
Give me +karma. Give me +karma.
snipereborn
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Thursday, February 2 2012, 9:37 pm EST
Fact Squisher

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@ Yaya
I havn't been able to present my theories and back them because I've been busy trying to show that the arguments against me are weak and outlandish.
Right now my list is thomas, jell, silver. I've been thinking maybe isa, but I don't know why exactly and also that would make me cry if thomas, jell, and isa were the mafia team.
If the third isn't isa or silver (which is entirely possible), I don't know who it would be.


Everyone runs faster with a knife.
snipereborn
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Thursday, February 2 2012, 9:47 pm EST
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Hmm. Heads up: I may be about to change my mind.
I've noticed an internal logical inconsistency in my thinking. I'm suspicious of thomas and silver because of a theory that jell supports (or supported? Don't know where he stands now). Yet I also think jell is mafia.
Not sure where this leaves me.
I see two options:
1. I played badly and jell reads that as mafia, so I'm just subconsiously prone to thinking someone who attacks me is an enemy i.e mafia. Therefore, Jell is not mafia, but thomas and silver probably are.
2. Jell is mafia and either thomas or silver or neither (but not both) are mafia and jell just riled me up even more.

Hey Isa, Occum's Razor.
I pick number two.
So the question is: is Thomas mafia or Silver or neither? If neither, this is bad news. Why? There isn't a lot of information on anyone else.


Everyone runs faster with a knife.
Thomas
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Thursday, February 2 2012, 10:05 pm EST
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There's information on you, snipereborn. Enough for a strong case, in fact.
snipereborn
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Thursday, February 2 2012, 10:24 pm EST
Fact Squisher

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Yes, because that definitely helps me pick who the mafia is. Thanks for the insight. You're case against me is actually pretty pathetic, since everything cited against me has been done by at least one other person.
Janitor kill theory ---> Jell
Reacting poorly to criticism ---> Silver
Agreeing with bad theories --> Everyone who voted kooler
Not caring too much about getting lynched ---> Jazz
Voting to lynch a townie --> Everyone who voted either Jazz or kooler

Note that all these things are also explained by me trying to squeeze information out of the nothingness that has otherwise existed. Except for voting Jazz. Even you thought he was obvscum.


Everyone runs faster with a knife.
Thomas
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Thursday, February 2 2012, 10:26 pm EST
the clique shall prevail

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And when all that is done by one person then it makes for scum. Thanks for making your own case by the way.
snipereborn
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Thursday, February 2 2012, 10:30 pm EST
Fact Squisher

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Just keep saying that; I'm sure reality will change and the rules of logic will stop working.


Everyone runs faster with a knife.
Silver
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Thursday, February 2 2012, 10:52 pm EST

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FOUR NEW PAGES OF MAFIA GAME
This is what happens when college

Just gonna go and read it all over a few times and catch up and stuff
Silver
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Thursday, February 2 2012, 11:14 pm EST

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OK just read it all and oh my that is a lot of discussion.

I don't really know what to say about all of it (and it's a lot to take it) so I'm just going to go and Vote: Thomas for the same reasons as yesterday (man those are actually pretty weak). Also, for the doctor RC, it's mega suspicious, also where the hell did that come from?

And now I'm gonna read all that discussion... again... x_x
Thomas
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Thursday, February 2 2012, 11:28 pm EST
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No, you are blatantly voting me for something that occurred today, not "for the same reasons as yesterday" or else you would have voted me in one of your posts made earlier in the day. And explain why the role claim was "mega suspicious." I would expect you to come under fire from others for voting a claimed PR so quickly, especially one who claimed an extremely powerful one like a doc.
Thomas
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Friday, February 3 2012, 12:27 am EST
the clique shall prevail

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Silver has been online for 43 minutes and counting and has not posted anything yet.
Thomas
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Friday, February 3 2012, 2:16 am EST
the clique shall prevail

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Oh and I almost forgot:
Code:
$memberRespect['Yaya'] -= 1;

For almost getting mod killed in a mafia game.
Yuggy
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Friday, February 3 2012, 2:35 am EST
I am a wise goat

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Shavey post something!

'Silver' said:
OK just read it all and oh my that is a lot of discussion.

I don't really know what to say about all of it (and it's a lot to take it) so I'm just going to go and Vote: Thomas for the same reasons as yesterday (man those are actually pretty weak). Also, for the doctor RC, it's mega suspicious, also where the hell did that come from?

And now I'm gonna read all that discussion... again... x_x
You are acting weird here Silver. You vote him apparently for the same reasons as yesterday and then say that they are weak, but if you think they are weak then why did you put Thomas at L-1? (I may have counted wrong but by my count Thomas is at L-1 now)
FoS: Silver
Thomas
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Friday, February 3 2012, 3:03 am EST
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'Thomas' said:
Silver post your thoughts instead of minus rating my posts while hidden.
Thomas
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Friday, February 3 2012, 3:14 am EST
the clique shall prevail

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You could at least PRETEND you want to play a game that YOU signed up for.
Silver
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Friday, February 3 2012, 3:25 am EST

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Fine, fine, if it'll make you stop jumping at my throat.
'Thomas' said:
No, you are blatantly voting me for something that occurred today, not "for the same reasons as yesterday" or else you would have voted me in one of your posts made earlier in the day. And explain why the role claim was "mega suspicious." I would expect you to come under fire from others for voting a claimed PR so quickly, especially one who claimed an extremely powerful one like a doc.

Your first sentence doesn't make any sense. I voted you for the same reasons PLUS that one new reason. I didn't vote you in an earlier post because I didn't think of it at the time.

I don't think I need to explain "mega suspicious." How can you suddenly claim such a role, out of nowhere?

And I don't know where to begin with your last sentence.
Thomas
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Friday, February 3 2012, 3:31 am EST
the clique shall prevail

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Ask Dando or Harumbai or somebody with a high intelligence quotient if you do not understand any of my sentences. Ah, I see, you did not think about voting for me until others voted.
Isa
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Friday, February 3 2012, 6:28 am EST
No. I'm an octopus.

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I am very tempted to vote Thomas again to shut him up.

Thomas, stop insulting the ones you play with. You may have an issue with their playing style, but what's even more bothersome is that you're incredibly hostile. I have no problem policy lynching you over it and you're already a suspicious creature, so I don't see any problem in doing that.

Stop being a whiny little brat whenever Silver is online and not posting.
Stop insulting people about how they don't understand what you're saying.
Stop using threats outside of the game that have no relevance to the game at hand. (i.e. blacklisting someone)
Stop being an ass, simply put.

If you do not do this I will policy lynch you to death. You're already at L-2 and I think I won't be hard pressed to find someone else to vote you.

Cut it. NOW.
Isa
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Friday, February 3 2012, 7:09 am EST
No. I'm an octopus.

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Back to the game.
'snipereborn' said:
Hmm. Heads up: I may be about to change my mind.
I've noticed an internal logical inconsistency in my thinking. I'm suspicious of thomas and silver because of a theory that jell supports (or supported? Don't know where he stands now). Yet I also think jell is mafia.
Not sure where this leaves me.
I see two options:
1. I played badly and jell reads that as mafia, so I'm just subconsiously prone to thinking someone who attacks me is an enemy i.e mafia. Therefore, Jell is not mafia, but thomas and silver probably are.
2. Jell is mafia and either thomas or silver or neither (but not both) are mafia and jell just riled me up even more.

Hey Isa, Occum's Razor.
I pick number two.
So the question is: is Thomas mafia or Silver or neither? If neither, this is bad news. Why? There isn't a lot of information on anyone else.


While there is such a thing as bussing, I think you're correct in assuming that that's not what's happening here.
I disagree with you about point 1, but we've been over this so many times. Jell is still a suspicious character in my mind, but not as much as you, so eh.

Reason why I am holding you as a scumread over Soccerboy: You've been all over the place in your defense of yourself (going from believing Soccerboy to...I don't know, sort of believing him - you were unclear), and he didn't make such an opportunistic vote on Thomas as you did. Soccerboy hasn't pushed a case on Silver either, which you've done and continue to do.  
Shavey Dave
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Friday, February 3 2012, 10:56 am EST

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@Yuggy. I'm grounded. Consider yourself lucky I'm making this post.

Silver your actions come out as strange to me. You = acting weird. This raises suspicions on you from me. You do not earn my vote but FoS: Silver you earn that. I'm sorry for not posting, I'll try to on Saturday. Until then I remain in - active after this post.





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