Day 1:

Day 4:


Thomas....

lol

nice catch

Hmmm

well they did rolecop him for that. but he said investigate, not rolecopped. interesting.

Exactly my point. Cops should only get affliction, not role name + affliction.

wait...
3 day bullet proof?

Uhh oh,  stuff that I didn't breadcrumb is trying to be used as a breadcrumb. I actually did think Snipereborn was town,  lol??  

Where did he get that from? is that some kind of gambit or is he serious? lsat night he protected himself, but well, if he was shot he'd die, he doesn't know that...and he is lynchable today. scum can still try to quickhammer just to end the day since it's lylo.

anyway - I don't understand how people still look at flashmarsh as scum. sniper was right - if he were scum town can never win in lylo. and he's already proved his claim.

I don't understand why thomas isn't voting jorster after that post. I think it was good.

Yeah, neither do I. Harumbai instantly believed Thomas claim (!?) and Thomas instantly believed Jellsprout (!?), but even more ridiculous he also believed Jorster (!?!?!?) and has yet to show any signs of suspicion. I completely agree that they should lynch Jorster and leave FlashMarsh be, as he could only be killed in LyLo with scum assisting.

Harumbai did a good job identifying Sniper's claim as easily faked, but he also accepted Jellsprout's claim at once - then again, he had him down as town since forever...but even more also he completely disregarded that Thomas was a doctor and protected Snipereborn N3 during his analysis, so the conclusion doesn't make a whole lot of sense.

There's one thing the scumteam didn't think about if jell and thomas reach 3p lylo, thomas is conftown, since if he's scum then jell's kill wouldn't fail(assuming jorster and sniper flipped, so jorster didn't doc and sniper didn't shell). Darvince can also be conftown already since everyone claimed and nobody claimed Mason. So scum have a problem: they're facing four townies:

1 conftown
1 conftown assuming jell is scum, and if he gets NKed then jell is confscum
1 needs +1 vote to be lynched - AKA cannot be scum anyway.

So really - Harumbai is scum's only hope..

I'm sure that thomas will be able to figure this out too..

I mean, if nothing else, you flavor confirmed Thomas by outright saying that he's Chansey and not Ditto.

A ditto can take the form of Chansey you know. Nobody actually sees a ditto in its pink form.

I have to say that I have no idea why mafia kept Flashmarsh in the game so long.

If I were scum, I think that *everyone claim to be the other Mason* is an amazing strategy.

Lol. Please do that, Shos, so that we can mislynch one person, max, and then get the correct scumteam at once.

huh?

if 4 people cced each other, town have only 25% of winning..

No, because they obviously have to claim who they're a partner with. If scum claims to be partners with each other, great, lynch the bigger group. If not, the real mason chills for a while and sees scum lynch themselves.

Also, assume a 4v3 scenario, and there's no confirmed townies. Does town have a higher or lower than 25% chance of winning if everyone's vanilla and lynches randomly?

I'll just do the math for you to show you why you're wrong.

(3 / 7) * (2 / 5) * (1 / 3) = 0,0571428571
The chance of town winning without any confirmed townies in a 4v3 situation.

((((3 / 4) * 2) / 3) * 1) / 2 = 0,25
The chance of town winning if the real mason and everyone on the scumteam claims mason, in a 4v3 situation.

Basically, instead of giving town one confirmed townie, you give them three. You just gave town an increased win rate of over 400%. Good job!

I hope we're not on the same scumteam if we play a game together...

nonono. I meant, in 4v3, there is Darvince who claims to be soccerboy's mason, and there's all the scums who ALSO claim to be soccerboy's mason.

yea I know it's not a GOOD one, but it is AWESOME, I think.

besides, in case thomas claimed doc, harumbai claimed vanilla, and flash is known to be innocent, THEN doing this is definitely GOOD too. too bad they've already claimed.

and hey, I'm a much better scum player than town, soon to have 5 wins/7 scumgames

Yep, so basically, there's three scum and four mason claims. Three people are scum, three scums have claimed mason, ergo, everyone NOT claiming mason is confirmed town once four scums have claimed.

And well, we can agree to have FlashMarsh as confirmed town regardless of situation, but eh.  

Thomas already knew that Darvince was the other Mason.
I'm pretty disappointed that he's nowhere near following through about Jellsprout.